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Predicting the World Series Champion by Home-Price Movements

If the American League and National League’s wild card games are any indication, there’s no doubt we’re in for an unpredictable Major League Baseball postseason.

Just as you would never consider buying or selling a home without a Realtor®, a baseball manager would never not put in his best relief pitcher – one that hadn’t allowed a run since April 30 (!) – in an extra-inning, one game playoff, right?

Unfortunately for Baltimore Orioles fans, manager Buck Showalter didn’t follow this common logic on Tuesday night. This was the result:

It’s not uncommon to hear pro baseball players call the playoffs “a crap shoot.” It’s often times the hottest team – and not the best – that wins it all. With the American League and National League Division Series kicking off today, let’s take a look at who would be the World Series champion if the winner was actually determined based on the home price movements of each team’s city.

Who is your favorite to win? If you’re unsure, let one of these price scenarios sway your decision: 

If the World Series winner is the team with the highest median home price, the San Francisco Giants will be the champions.

If the World Series winner is the team with the lowest median home price, the Cleveland Indians will be the champions.

If the World Series winner is the team with the fastest price appreciation (YoY), the Toronto Blue Jays will be the champions.

If the World Series winner is the team with the slowest price appreciation (YoY), the Washington Nationals will be the champions.

Teams/Second Quarter Median Single-family Home Price
Boston Red Sox – $435,800 (5.1 percent)
Chicago Cubs – $246,400 (6.9 percent)
Cleveland Indians – $138,100 (6.5 percent)
Los Angeles Dodgers – $480,000 (6.9 percent)
San Francisco Giants – $885,600 (9.5 percent)
Texas Rangers (Dallas) – $232,200 (7.9 percent)
Toronto Blue Jays* – $662,300 (17.2 percent)
Washington Nationals – $406,900 (1.4 percent)

*According to the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA)